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  • Looks like the Saudis have found their fall guy in Khashoggi's death
    Posted on October 18, 2018 at 6:21 pm

    New York Times report The New York Times that the Saudi's are considering blaming General Ahmad Al-Assiri for Khashoggi's death. He's close to the Crown Prince. […]

  • EUR/USD threatens lowest close since August
    Posted on October 18, 2018 at 6:09 pm

    Euro under pressure Italy and the EU are headed for a Mexican standoff on the budget and the market is souring by the moment. It's an open question on how much the latest drop in EUR/USD is about Italy and how much is about broad risk sentiment but since this time last week, the euro is t […]

  • Cable drop extends to lowest since October 5
    Posted on October 18, 2018 at 5:39 pm

    Cable under heavy pressure Risk off markets are giving the US dollar and yen a major lift. GBP/USD is suffering as the S&P 500 falls 48 points to 2760, falling through the 200-day moving average. […]

  • USD/CAD nears the highest levels of October
    Posted on October 18, 2018 at 5:18 pm

    USD/CAD has erased all its recent losses You would think the combination of a new NAFTA deal and a great BOC Business Outlook Survey would be a tailwind for Canada but it hasn't worked out that way. […]

  • US sells 30-year TIPS at 1.235% vs 1.210% WI
    Posted on October 18, 2018 at 5:04 pm

    TIPS reopening The US Treasury sold 29-year 4-month TIPS with a yield of 1.235% above inflation. That's a nicer return than the 1.210% the market was looking for and it could push up broader yields and hurt the market and USD/JPY. […]

  • Italy's Conte: Thinks a downgrade can be avoided, talking to ratings agencies
    Posted on October 18, 2018 at 4:36 pm

    Interesting comment S&P is slated to weigh in on Italy's rating next Friday. Most are expecting a downgrade but the system in Europe requires early notice to governments so maybe it's not so bad. It would be a big boost for the euro if they aren't downgraded but that's tough to envision. […]

  • Italian leaders downplay differences with EU
    Posted on October 18, 2018 at 4:26 pm

    Comments from Conte and Tria The EU letter says Italy's planned spending growth next year is 2.7%, while max allowed under rules is 0.1%. That sounds like a bit more than a narrow difference. […]

  • Fed's Quarles: Fed's gradual rate hike strategy is still appropriate
    Posted on October 18, 2018 at 4:15 pm

    Quarles on the economy What's the signal here? He's upbeat on the economy and is certainly not hinting at any kind of pause in the next six months. Overall, it's a hawkish message. […]

  • EU says Italy's planned budget deviation is 'unprecedented' in letter
    Posted on October 18, 2018 at 4:09 pm

    Contents of Moscovici's letter to Tria ForexLiv […]

  • S&P 500 nears Tuesday's low in sharp drop
    Posted on October 18, 2018 at 3:59 pm

    Not looking good for stocks The drop in USD/JPY was the early-warning sign for stocks, something earlier. I wrote about Now the wheels have come off for US stocks. The S&P 500 is down 39 points to 2769. The low on Tuesday was 2766. Expect another round of stops if the lows give way. […]

  • European equity close: Another rough one with Italy lagging
    Posted on October 18, 2018 at 3:39 pm

    Closing changes for the major indexes US stocks are on the fritz at the moment as well, with the S&P 500 down 28 points to 2780, that's just below yeterday's low. […]

  • Mnuchin won't be going to Saudi investment conference
    Posted on October 18, 2018 at 3:33 pm

    Mnuchin finally quits Liam Fox and Mnuchin were two of the final big names to pull out. Might as well shut the whole thing down at this point. ForexLiv […]

  • Draghi said to tell EU leaders the eurozone outlook is positive
    Posted on October 18, 2018 at 3:27 pm

    Small pop in the euro The euro jumped 20 pips on this headline but it's nothing new and it's right back down. More: ForexLiv […]

  • Germany-Italy 10-year spread widens to most since 2013
    Posted on October 18, 2018 at 3:26 pm

    Not a great look for Italian debt Italian yields are blowing out today and are now up 13 basis points to 3.68% which is within striking distance of the October high of 3.71%. […]

  • USD/JPY hits stops in fall to the lows of the day
    Posted on October 18, 2018 at 3:10 pm

    USD/JPY sinks USD/JPY hit stops on a break of the session low of 112.44. That level held on a half-dozen tests earlier today but has broken after the London fix. The move has run stops down to 112.30. […]

  • Leaders upbeat but cable falls to nine-day low
    Posted on October 18, 2018 at 3:00 pm

    Cable at the lows Leaders in the EU and UK are sounding an optimistic note today but it appears we're at the 'put up or shut up' stage of negotiations. The market wants to see something done and something that May can get through her party and parliament. […]

  • May: Convinced they will secure a good Brexit deal
    Posted on October 18, 2018 at 2:57 pm

    Theresa May comments Same story from May. Lots of optimism today from the leaders but none from GBP with cable down 40 pips and at the lows. ForexLiv […]

  • USD/CAD should fall back to 1.28 again but loonie won't go into high gear - CIBC
    Posted on October 18, 2018 at 2:46 pm

    Sees USD/CAD sliding on BOC hikes The Bank of Canada decision next week will be a highlight for financial markets and especially for CAD traders. A hike is a near-certainty but how hawkish the central bank will be is an open question. […]

  • Fed's Bullard: Willing to go along with hikes so far but they should stop
    Posted on October 18, 2018 at 2:36 pm

    Bullard comments to reporters ForexLiv […]

  • Juncker: Brexit transition extension is probable
    Posted on October 18, 2018 at 2:33 pm

    Juncker on Italy and Britain Sounds like Juncker is letting the cat out of the bag. He says a Brexit deal 'will be done' which really helps to put to bed the rumor that the EU is about to walk away. […]

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